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statistics [f2643e37]

Tags: math

1. Base Rate Neglect

Example problem: given the question "is this woman a farmer or a librarian", the base rate is that there are magnitudes more farmers than librarians, so the question actually reduces from woman farmer/librarian to any farmer/librarian, but the base rate is neglected

2. Elements of Statistical Learning Guide

3. Bradly-Terry (and Plackett-Luce)

4. ASHA Sycronization

  • Provisionally promote trials on rungs, and then demote them. Works better than waiting on syncronization. For example:

    2026-04-22_20-17-20_screenshot.png

    • At each stage, just kill the trials, barriers like

    2026-04-22_20-17-45_screenshot.png

waste a lot of time